Statistical reasoning

Definition

Statistical reasoning draws conclusions from rates, proportions, samples, and probabilities — moving from how often something happens to how likely it is here. Its strength lives in the details: how big the sample is, how it was gathered, and whether the rate actually applies to the case at hand.

Memory hook

“From how often to how likely.”

What it sounds like

• Nine times out of ten…
• In a sample of…
• The rate among … is …, so the chance here is about…